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Weather
- Thread starter peterh6308
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Yes. Please be safe Mikey and KG. I didn't realize KG that you were close to the bullseye also. Mikey's right that at present it looks like Henri will hit central and eastern Long Island as opposed to the western side by Brooklyn.
We're hoping that Henri will weaken again to only tropical storm status by the time it reaches the colder waters south of Long Island. You can still expect to see plenty of rain and lots of leaves, tree limbs, twigs and yard debris all over the streets and sidewalks. Some whole trees will probably go down. Which means that some power lines will be brought down.
So it's a good idea to make sure you know where your flashlights are and that you have batteries. Candles should really only be used as a last resort due to fire hazards. And if you know you are going to go into nighfall without power, scan the floors, stairs or other commonly used pathways and clear those paths of any clutter or tripping hazards so you won't trip or fall on stuff after dark. Also you do common sense things like making sure you have your cell phones fully charged in advance of the storm, along with charging other things in advance like electric toothbrushes, electric razors, etc. There's a ton of stuff to do in advance of a strong hurricane. But for a medium strength tropical storm most of the prep should revolve around being prepared for no electricity. Including having non-perishable food on hand of course.
We're hoping that Henri will weaken again to only tropical storm status by the time it reaches the colder waters south of Long Island. You can still expect to see plenty of rain and lots of leaves, tree limbs, twigs and yard debris all over the streets and sidewalks. Some whole trees will probably go down. Which means that some power lines will be brought down.
So it's a good idea to make sure you know where your flashlights are and that you have batteries. Candles should really only be used as a last resort due to fire hazards. And if you know you are going to go into nighfall without power, scan the floors, stairs or other commonly used pathways and clear those paths of any clutter or tripping hazards so you won't trip or fall on stuff after dark. Also you do common sense things like making sure you have your cell phones fully charged in advance of the storm, along with charging other things in advance like electric toothbrushes, electric razors, etc. There's a ton of stuff to do in advance of a strong hurricane. But for a medium strength tropical storm most of the prep should revolve around being prepared for no electricity. Including having non-perishable food on hand of course.
I realize that while I said that most preparations for a medium strength tropical storm should revolve around being prepared for a loss of electricty, I said that knowing that Mikey lives in an apartmant rather than a stand alone house. I don't know what KG's living situation is. But for anyone in the path of Henri who lives in a single family dwelling there are indeed other precautions to take. When the winds pick up, anything loose outside can become a projectile that can shatter your windows. So of course bring inside anything you don't want crashing through your windows or getting tossed around in your yard or down the street. Things like garbage cans, lawn and patio furniture, potted plants, wind chimes, flags, lawn ornaments, outside door ornaments, etc. I've even had my neighbor's soggy and dirty front door welcome mat end up pressed against my own front door.
If you know that you have large old trees very close to certain windows in your home, and there's nothing you can do about it, you want to at least avoid sitting near or walking closely past those windows during the peak of the storm. (Where tree branches could break off and come crashing through.) Big old trees will also sometimes topple over in heavy wind storms and crush the roofs of houses and cars. So try to avoid spending much time in areas of your home where a tree could potentially collapse the roof and land on top of you.
Just be safe everyone.
If you know that you have large old trees very close to certain windows in your home, and there's nothing you can do about it, you want to at least avoid sitting near or walking closely past those windows during the peak of the storm. (Where tree branches could break off and come crashing through.) Big old trees will also sometimes topple over in heavy wind storms and crush the roofs of houses and cars. So try to avoid spending much time in areas of your home where a tree could potentially collapse the roof and land on top of you.
Just be safe everyone.
This is from weatherunderground.com:
******************************************************
Last Updated: 8/21/2021 8:00:00 PM (Eastern Daylight Time)
Location: 37.4 N 71 WMovement: NNE at 16 mphWind: 75mphPressure: 988 mb
Storm MapsStorm Details
Select a report to view:
CoordinatesDiscussionsMarine AdvisoryPublic Advisory
000
WTNT43 KNHC 212033
TCDAT3
Hurricane Henri Discussion Number 24
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082021
500 PM EDT Sat Aug 21 2021
Visible satellite images and microwave data indicate that a tight
inner core has formed in association with Henri, but the convective
pattern appears ragged in infrared images. An ASCAT pass from
earlier today indicated that the 34- and 50-kt winds continue to
expand in the southeastern quadrant, and that data was used to
update the initial wind radii. The latest Dvorak estimates range
from 55 to 77 kt, and based on that data, the initial intensity is
held at 65 kt. The NOAA Hurricane Hunters will be investigating
Henri this evening.
Henri is moving faster to the north-northeast, or 020 degrees, at 16
kt. There continues to be little change to the forecast track
philosophy. A cut-off low located over the central Appalachians and
a ridge building to the east and northeast of Henri should cause the
storm to continue moving north-northeastward through tonight. A
decresae in forward speed and a slight bend to the left is then
forecast to occur on Sunday. The latest model guidance has shifted
slightly to the right, and the NHC official track forecast has been
nudged in that direction. This forecast shows landfall over eastern
Long Island and southern Connecticut in about 24 hours. Users are
reminded to not focus on the exact forecast track, as the average
24-hour track uncertainty is around 40 miles and impacts will extend
well away from the center.
The environment looks favorable for Henri to strengthen through
tonight with low shear, upper-level divergence associated with the
upper-level trough, and warm SSTs. In fact, SST analyses indicate
that Henri will be passing over a patch of very warm 30 deg C waters
this evening. By early Sunday Henri is predicted to cross the
north wall of the Gulf Stream. That should result in some
weakening, but Henri is forecast to be at or near hurricane strength
at landfall. Once the center moves inland over the northeast
United States, rapid weakening is expected. Henri is forecast to
become post-tropical in about 48 hours and dissipate in 3 to 4 days.
Key Messages:
1. Dangerous storm surge inundation is expected to begin late
tonight or Sunday in portions of Long Island, Connecticut, Rhode
Island, and southeastern Massachusetts, where a Storm Surge Warning
has been issued. Residents in these areas should follow any advice
given by local officials.
2. Hurricane conditions are expected to begin late tonight or
Sunday in portions of Long Island, Connecticut, and Rhode Island,
where a Hurricane Warning is in effect. Tropical storm conditions
will begin in these areas tonight.
3. Heavy rainfall may lead to considerable flash, urban, and small
stream flooding, along with the potential for widespread minor to
isolated moderate river flooding over portions of Long Island, New
England, eastern New York and New Jersey.
4. Swells from Henri will continue to affect much of the east coast
of the U.S. during the next day or two. These swells could cause
life-threatening surf and rip currents.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
**************************************
Source: https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/atlantic/2021/hurricane-henri?text=disc
******************************************************
Last Updated: 8/21/2021 8:00:00 PM (Eastern Daylight Time)
Location: 37.4 N 71 WMovement: NNE at 16 mphWind: 75mphPressure: 988 mb
Storm MapsStorm Details
Select a report to view:
CoordinatesDiscussionsMarine AdvisoryPublic Advisory
000
WTNT43 KNHC 212033
TCDAT3
Hurricane Henri Discussion Number 24
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082021
500 PM EDT Sat Aug 21 2021
Visible satellite images and microwave data indicate that a tight
inner core has formed in association with Henri, but the convective
pattern appears ragged in infrared images. An ASCAT pass from
earlier today indicated that the 34- and 50-kt winds continue to
expand in the southeastern quadrant, and that data was used to
update the initial wind radii. The latest Dvorak estimates range
from 55 to 77 kt, and based on that data, the initial intensity is
held at 65 kt. The NOAA Hurricane Hunters will be investigating
Henri this evening.
Henri is moving faster to the north-northeast, or 020 degrees, at 16
kt. There continues to be little change to the forecast track
philosophy. A cut-off low located over the central Appalachians and
a ridge building to the east and northeast of Henri should cause the
storm to continue moving north-northeastward through tonight. A
decresae in forward speed and a slight bend to the left is then
forecast to occur on Sunday. The latest model guidance has shifted
slightly to the right, and the NHC official track forecast has been
nudged in that direction. This forecast shows landfall over eastern
Long Island and southern Connecticut in about 24 hours. Users are
reminded to not focus on the exact forecast track, as the average
24-hour track uncertainty is around 40 miles and impacts will extend
well away from the center.
The environment looks favorable for Henri to strengthen through
tonight with low shear, upper-level divergence associated with the
upper-level trough, and warm SSTs. In fact, SST analyses indicate
that Henri will be passing over a patch of very warm 30 deg C waters
this evening. By early Sunday Henri is predicted to cross the
north wall of the Gulf Stream. That should result in some
weakening, but Henri is forecast to be at or near hurricane strength
at landfall. Once the center moves inland over the northeast
United States, rapid weakening is expected. Henri is forecast to
become post-tropical in about 48 hours and dissipate in 3 to 4 days.
Key Messages:
1. Dangerous storm surge inundation is expected to begin late
tonight or Sunday in portions of Long Island, Connecticut, Rhode
Island, and southeastern Massachusetts, where a Storm Surge Warning
has been issued. Residents in these areas should follow any advice
given by local officials.
2. Hurricane conditions are expected to begin late tonight or
Sunday in portions of Long Island, Connecticut, and Rhode Island,
where a Hurricane Warning is in effect. Tropical storm conditions
will begin in these areas tonight.
3. Heavy rainfall may lead to considerable flash, urban, and small
stream flooding, along with the potential for widespread minor to
isolated moderate river flooding over portions of Long Island, New
England, eastern New York and New Jersey.
4. Swells from Henri will continue to affect much of the east coast
of the U.S. during the next day or two. These swells could cause
life-threatening surf and rip currents.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
**************************************
Source: https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/atlantic/2021/hurricane-henri?text=disc
That's cool! I had no idea.
kgmets
BSB God
I realize that while I said that most preparations for a medium strength tropical storm should revolve around being prepared for a loss of electricty, I said that knowing that Mikey lives in an apartmant rather than a stand alone house. I don't know what KG's living situation is. But for anyone in the path of Henri who lives in a single family dwelling there are indeed other precautions to take. When the winds pick up, anything loose outside can become a projectile that can shatter your windows. So of course bring inside anything you don't want crashing through your windows or getting tossed around in your yard or down the street. Things like garbage cans, lawn and patio furniture, potted plants, wind chimes, flags, lawn ornaments, outside door ornaments, etc. I've even had my neighbor's soggy and dirty front door welcome mat end up pressed against my own front door.
If you know that you have large old trees very close to certain windows in your home, and there's nothing you can do about it, you want to at least avoid sitting near or walking closely past those windows during the peak of the storm. (Where tree branches could break off and come crashing through.) Big old trees will also sometimes topple over in heavy wind storms and crush the roofs of houses and cars. So try to avoid spending much time in areas of your home where a tree could potentially collapse the roof and land on top of you.
Just be safe everyone.
I was working on that all morning! Thanks for the tips!
kgmets
BSB God
Since I posted this Henri's CT land fall is now Madison, CT, half way between New Haven and the Rhode Island border. So my part of CT may be moving from a hurricane to a tropical storm, which is better, but we still have potential flooding and power issues to deal with.
kgmets
BSB God
Last summer I learned a geography lesson when I went to the North Fork of Long Island to go to the wine country. It was my first time out there and I discovered that Connecticut was just across the Long Island Sound. And so I wish you well KG as you are more likely to be affected negatively by Henri than I will up on the high land of Brooklyn Heights. Good luck!
Thanks for your wish of good luck! Your geography lesson is well taken as Henri has to hit and go over Long Island first before getting to CT, which is a beneficial buffer of sorts to lessening the hurricane punch. Hope that's enough to save our power for tomorrow.
Stay safe everyone! I'm in SE Mass and it is forecasted to be a tropical storm with like 40-50 mph winds and gusts maybe to 70, they keep changing it, I'm just outside the cone. those in the path of the storm, take good care. My prayers are with you all. I'm expecting to lose power, so everything is charged up. Finding gas was fun, had to stop at 3 stations and buy premium as that was all they had LOL
mikeyank
Long time forumite
All my best wishes to you chac54. And everyone else in the path of the storm.
Good luck Chac!
Yes. Gassing up the car in advance is a very good idea if the power goes out. It's also not a bad idea to have some cash on hand in case the ATM's are down or internet access is spotty for processing credit card and debit transactions.
You need to know these storms are very unpredictable and a shift 1 way or the other can move their sffects over or away from you. They can also stall or suddenly move much faster. Depending where they are if over warm water they can suddenly increase in strength otr over cold water dissipate . Try to stay calm and just keep listening to the news.
peterh6308
BSB Addict
Prayers being sent for everyones safety and minimal damage. Cool to read some of our old forumites posts. Sadly some have passed away....
Last edited:
Prayers being sent for everyones safety and minimal damage. Cool to read some of our old forumites posts. Sadly some have passed away....
I know Peter.. Between Johnny and Betu it's hard sometimes to look back on ealier parts of some of these older threads.
Yes. Prayers to all of you in here who are in the path of the storm. It sounds like there is a lot of soaking rains and some street flooding going on. And that won't stop right away. It looks like even Brooklyn and the rest of western Long Island is getting pounded by rain. (Even though the eye of the storm is currently off the eastern coast of L.I.) You may have another 10 hours or more of rain. Fortuantely the storm is moving at about 14 mph, which is rather fast. It really sucks when they soak you with rain and wind and move at only about 4-7 mph.
I hope Mikey, KG and Chac are doing okay.
I hope Mikey, KG and Chac are doing okay.
mikeyank
Long time forumite
I was outside around 9 AM and there was only light rain and no wind in Brooklyn Heights. This is what I saw a couple of hours ago.
If things get worse later, I will report back.
If things get worse later, I will report back.
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