UK politics changing ? or just a protest

[joninliverton]

Today, the UKIP party gains a second member of parliament after their second successful parliamentary bi election victory. The bi elections were triggered by Tory MPs switch to UKIP, so the voters had to make a choice whether to switch parties too.

The British public are well won over by UKIP Nigel Farage's style of leadership. With the UK General Election being held next May, these are very interesting times indeed. I will go on record and predict a narrow Tory win and that they will be forced to have a coalition with UKIP who i think will get over 25 seats. If they do not go into coalition then it will be a hung parliament which is bad for the country.

Most of the issues in the peoples minds relate to Europe and it is well known that UKIP will get Britain out of Europe. It is also well known that the Tory party have promised a referendum on Europe should they be re elected.

 

[Ambivalent]

Today, the UKIP party gains a second member of parliament after their second successful parliamentary bi election victory. The bi elections were triggered by Tory MPs switch to UKIP, so the voters had to make a choice whether to switch parties too.

The British public are well won over by UKIP Nigel Farage's style of leadership. With the UK General Election being held next May, these are very interesting times indeed. I will go on record and predict a narrow Tory win and that they will be forced to have a coalition with UKIP who i think will get over 25 seats. If they do not go into coalition then it will be a hung parliament which is bad for the country.

Most of the issues in the peoples minds relate to Europe and it is well known that UKIP will get Britain out of Europe. It is also well known that the Tory party have promised a referendum on Europe should they be re elected.

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Not sure, Jon. I am not an expert in either U.K. or European politics.

I think David Cameron will avoid a coalition with the U.K.I.P. if it is at ALL possible for him - though you might be right, and it may not be.

For good or ill, I think it is best for the U.K., economically (though it makes me hold my nose a little) if the U.K. could extract some concessions from the E.U. and stay in. However, Mrs. Merkel's anti-Keynesian policies are holding the whole continent back from economic recovery, and may do so, indefinitely.

(Indeed, many economists believe that the Germans' aversion to fiscal stimulus - which is sometimes a temporary necessity - is holding the whole continent, back. This MAY be one reason why the U.S. economic recovery has been much more robust than any in Europe, so far - a lot of analysts believe that Germany and much of Europe are slipping into a deflationary cycle, such as has plagued JAPAN, for the last two decades: aging and shrinking population, low economic growth, continuing/ongoing recession, etc.)

"A" XOXOXOXOXOXOXOXO

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/...could-enter-third-recession-in-six-years.html

 

[joninliverton]

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Not sure, Jon. I am not an expert in either U.K. or European politics.

I think David Cameron will avoid a coalition with the U.K.I.P. if it is at ALL possible for him - though you might be right, and it may not be.

For good or ill, I think it is best for the U.K., economically (though it makes me hold my nose a little) if the U.K. could extract some concessions from the E.U. and stay in. However, Mrs. Merkel's anti-Keynesian policies are holding the whole continent back from economic recovery, and may do so, indefinitely.

(Indeed, many economists believe that the Germans' aversion to fiscal stimulus - which is sometimes a temporary necessity - is holding the whole continent, back. This MAY be one reason why the U.S. economic recovery has been much more robust than any in Europe, so far - a lot of analysts believe that Germany and much of Europe are slipping into a deflationary cycle, such as has plagued JAPAN, for the last two decades: aging and shrinking population, low economic growth, continuing/ongoing recession, etc.)

"A" XOXOXOXOXOXOXOXO

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/...could-enter-third-recession-in-six-years.html

Thanks for the response Ambi and for not quoting the very Tory Daily Mail lol. If the UK leaves the EU then I think it will be the thin end of the wedge, as my teacher used to say to me. Merkel seams to think that it is no big deal but I guess other countries would soon follow - especially those who are having to pay millions into the EU. Interesting times ahead indeed.

 

[Ambivalent]

Jon ~

I always do my best to quote reputable sources, like The Economist. But sometimes, when I ask them questions you ask me on the Broke Straight Boys board: they don't get back to ME, in time to get back, to YOU. (That's life. Y'know.)

"A" ;-))))